Crop and Fertilizer Markets Wipe Out Iran War Risk Premium

June 9, 2026, 10:42 AM UTC

The Iran war risk premium that swept through crop and fertilizer markets is rapidly evaporating as fears of prolonged supply disruptions fade, easing one of the biggest threats to food inflation.

Prices of urea — one of the world’s most important crop nutrients — have plunged more than 30% since mid-April, wiping out the gains triggered by the conflict. That’s dragging down prices of corn, wheat and other farm products, with the Bloomberg Agriculture Spot Index tracking 10 of the world’s most-traded crops falling to its lowest level since March 5 on Friday.

It’s a dramatic reversal from the early ...

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