BGOV Hill Watch Live: Scenario Planning in a Midterm Year

March 24, 2026, 8:30 PM UTC

Capitol Hill and K Street are digesting the results of the year’s first primaries and looking ahead to the November midterm elections to begin planning their strategies for the new Congress.

Republicans will be vying to maintain their trifecta, while Democrats are hoping to take one or both chambers to offer a check on the Trump administration.

BGOV’s Hill Watch Live walked through some of the scenarios and factors to bear in mind:

  • Retirements and governor bids will generate Senate turnover, with Democrats looking to pick up the net four new seats they’d need for a majority, as Senior Elections ...

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