Hormuz Woes Seen Lingering Into Second Half, Goldman Poll Shows

May 8, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Wall Street is growing more convinced that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz will remain impaired into the second half of the year, highlighting expectations for a longer-lasting supply shock.

A majority of surveyed investors expect flows through Hormuz to be disrupted beyond the end of June, and 43% of respondents don’t expect shipping to return to normal until after July, according to a poll by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. A third of respondents expect Brent crude to finish this year between $80 and $90 a barrel, Goldman’s Marquee MarketView survey showed.

An impasse in ...

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