Tariff Ruling Threatens a $2 Trillion Fiscal Hole in Trump Plan

May 30, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC

The court ruling that blocked much of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs threatens to blow what some economists estimate as a $2 trillion hole into the US fiscal outlook over the coming decade, should the judgment stay in place.

The ruling could also present a new obstacle for Republicans who are relying on the revenue to help offset the cost of a roughly $4 trillion tax cut moving through Congress.

“At face value, this ruling will take away billions of dollars of prospective tariff revenue” annually, said Douglas Elmendorf a Harvard Kennedy School professor and former director of the ...

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