What to Watch in the Congressional Redistricting Wars in 2026

Florida, Virginia, and the US Supreme Court loom as the top battlegrounds for mid-decade redistricting in 2026, as President Donald Trump’s crusade to create more Republican-friendly House seats sputters.

Republican-led Florida could implement new lines to swing as many as five seats red in 2026, while Democratic-controlled Virginia is attempting a high-stakes gambit that could turn as many as four seats bluer. Meanwhile, the fate of other maps could be affected by an upcoming Supreme Court ruling in a seminal redistricting case out of Louisiana.

“If the redistricting wars ended in December 2025, it would basically be a draw ...